http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Opinion/Commentary/2012/Apr-06/169390-five-possible-scenarios-for-syria-and-their-impact-on-iraq.ashx#axzz1rkcQS0cc
This article is from a Lebanese newspaper and written by a former general in the Iraqi Air Force. Hussein offers five different scenarios for the continuing violence in Syria. Whatever the outcome, Iraq is concerned for it's own national security. The author supports a peaceful solution to the conflict without arming the opposition. This will keep the already weakened Iraqi army from a Jihadist movement. It appears that this may be possible with Syria's agreement to the UN ceasefire plan for April 12th.
Although, a peace agreement has been accepted the violence has not ended. Assad's regime does not want to step down or lose any power. It seems as though the government is taking steps to lessen the amount of violence and conflict. But, I think going from the rule of the Ba'ath Party to having elections in May is a transition that will need more time. It makes me question if Assad and his regime are trying to create a certain appearance of giving protestors what they want.
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